Premier League · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 02:00 PM
Arsenal FCvsTottenham Hotspur FC
Outcome probabilities
69%
19%
12%
Arsenal winDrawSpurs win
Arsenal
69%
fair odds 1.45
Draw
19%
fair odds 5.15
Spurs
12%
fair odds 8.44
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.52 – 1.02
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
Most likely scorelines
- #12 – 19.4%
- #22 – 09.2%
- #31 – 18.8%
- #43 – 17.9%
- #53 – 07.8%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →