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Serie A · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 06:45 PM

FC Internazionale MilanovsJuventus FC

Outcome probabilities

62%
26%
12%
Inter winDrawJuventus win

Inter

62%

fair odds 1.61

Draw

26%

fair odds 3.84

Juventus

12%

fair odds 8.31

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.800.70

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

Most likely scorelines

  • #120
    13.4%
  • #210
    13.0%
  • #311
    12.2%
  • #400
    10.1%
  • #521
    9.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →