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Premier League · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 01:00 PM

Wolverhampton Wanderers FCvsNewcastle United FC

Outcome probabilities

34%
28%
38%
Wolves winDrawNewcastle win

Wolves

34%

fair odds 2.97

Draw

28%

fair odds 3.57

Newcastle

38%

fair odds 2.61

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.471.58

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Under 2.5 goals

41%

Most likely scorelines

  • #111
    13.0%
  • #212
    8.7%
  • #321
    8.1%
  • #400
    6.7%
  • #522
    6.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →