Premier League · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 02:00 PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FCvsLeicester City FC
Outcome probabilities
64%
22%
14%
Brighton winDrawLeicester win
Brighton
64%
fair odds 1.57
Draw
22%
fair odds 4.49
Leicester
14%
fair odds 7.08
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.23 – 1.00
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 110.4%
- #22 – 09.8%
- #32 – 19.8%
- #43 – 07.3%
- #53 – 17.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →