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Premier League · Monday, May 11, 2026 · 01:00 PM

Everton FCvsWest Ham United FC

Outcome probabilities

45%
29%
26%
Everton winDrawWest Ham win

Everton

45%

fair odds 2.23

Draw

29%

fair odds 3.46

West Ham

26%

fair odds 3.82

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.60 – 1.19

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Under 2.5 goals

47%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 – 1
    13.8%
  • #22 – 1
    9.4%
  • #30 – 0
    8.2%
  • #42 – 0
    7.9%
  • #51 – 0
    7.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →