La Liga · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 04:00 PM
Club Atlético de MadridvsSevilla FC
Outcome probabilities
75%
19%
Atletico winDrawSevilla win
Atletico
75%
fair odds 1.34
Draw
19%
fair odds 5.39
Sevilla
7%
fair odds 15.18
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.33 – 0.61
Both teams to score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
Most likely scorelines
- #12 – 014.4%
- #23 – 011.2%
- #31 – 011.0%
- #41 – 18.8%
- #52 – 18.7%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links — Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →