La Liga · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 06:00 PM
Villarreal CFvsAthletic Club
Outcome probabilities
46%
28%
26%
Villarreal winDrawAthletic win
Villarreal
46%
fair odds 2.19
Draw
28%
fair odds 3.52
Athletic
26%
fair odds 3.86
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.65 – 1.21
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 113.5%
- #22 – 19.4%
- #32 – 07.8%
- #40 – 07.8%
- #51 – 07.4%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →