Bundesliga · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 03:30 PM
RB LeipzigvsVfB Stuttgart
Outcome probabilities
63%
20%
17%
Leipzig winDrawStuttgart win
Leipzig
63%
fair odds 1.58
Draw
20%
fair odds 4.93
Stuttgart
16%
fair odds 6.08
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.54 – 1.29
Both teams to score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
Most likely scorelines
- #12 – 19.0%
- #21 – 18.4%
- #33 – 17.7%
- #42 – 07.0%
- #53 – 05.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →