Serie A · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 06:45 PM
SSC NapolivsAtalanta BC
Outcome probabilities
52%
25%
23%
Napoli winDrawAtalanta win
Napoli
52%
fair odds 1.92
Draw
25%
fair odds 4.03
Atalanta
23%
fair odds 4.35
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.03 – 1.32
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 111.1%
- #22 – 19.5%
- #32 – 07.2%
- #43 – 16.5%
- #52 – 26.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →