Serie A · Monday, May 11, 2026 · 06:45 PM
SS LaziovsJuventus FC
Outcome probabilities
39%
31%
30%
Lazio winDrawJuventus win
Lazio
39%
fair odds 2.56
Draw
31%
fair odds 3.25
Juventus
30%
fair odds 3.32
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.39 – 1.20
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 114.8%
- #20 – 09.7%
- #32 – 18.7%
- #41 – 08.2%
- #51 – 27.5%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links — Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →