Ligue 1 · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 07:00 PM
AS Monaco FCvsLille OSC
Outcome probabilities
56%
25%
19%
Monaco winDrawLille win
Monaco
56%
fair odds 1.79
Draw
25%
fair odds 3.99
Lille
19%
fair odds 5.22
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.99 – 1.12
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 111.7%
- #22 – 19.9%
- #32 – 08.8%
- #41 – 07.1%
- #53 – 16.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →