Ligue 1 · Monday, May 11, 2026 · 03:00 PM
Olympique LyonnaisvsAS Monaco FC
Outcome probabilities
44%
27%
29%
Lyon winDrawMonaco win
Lyon
44%
fair odds 2.26
Draw
27%
fair odds 3.77
Monaco
29%
fair odds 3.43
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.80 – 1.44
Both teams to score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 112.0%
- #22 – 19.1%
- #31 – 27.3%
- #42 – 26.6%
- #52 – 06.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →