Serie A · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 04:00 PM
SS LaziovsFC Internazionale Milano
Outcome probabilities
28%
30%
42%
Lazio winDrawInter win
Lazio
28%
fair odds 3.55
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.39
Inter
42%
fair odds 2.36
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.22 – 1.53
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 114.1%
- #21 – 29.1%
- #30 – 08.6%
- #40 – 17.7%
- #50 – 27.5%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →