Serie A · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 04:00 PM
Parma Calcio 1913vsAS Roma
Outcome probabilities
41%
29%
30%
Parma winDrawRoma win
Parma
41%
fair odds 2.43
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.40
Roma
29%
fair odds 3.39
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.52 – 1.26
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 114.0%
- #22 – 19.0%
- #30 – 08.3%
- #41 – 27.5%
- #51 – 07.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →