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FIFA World Cup · Friday, June 12, 2026 · 02:00 AM

South KoreavsCzechia

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Korea Republic winDrawCzechia win

Korea Republic

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

Czechia

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →