Mintscore

FIFA World Cup · Friday, June 19, 2026 · 07:00 PM

United StatesvsAustralia

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
USA winDrawAustralia win

USA

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

Australia

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Form & scorers

USA · last 1

W

1W · 0D · 0L

Australia

Recent form unavailable.

Top scorers playing today

  • Folarin BalogunUSA2goals
  • Gio ReynaUSA1goals

FIFA World Cup top scorers

  • 1Julián QuiñonesMexico1
  • 2Raúl JiménezMexico1
  • 3Ladislav KrejčíCzechia1
  • 4In-beom HwangKorea Republic1
  • 5Hyun-Gyu OhKorea Republic1
  • 6Jovo LukićBosnia-H.1
  • 7Cyle LarinCanada1
  • 8MauricioParaguay1

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →