Mintscore

FIFA World Cup · Friday, July 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM

Argentinavs

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Argentina winDraw win

Argentina

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Form & scorers

Recent form unavailable.

Top scorers playing today

  • Lionel MessiArgentina5goals

FIFA World Cup top scorers

  • 1Vinicius JuniorBrazil4
  • 2Kylian MbappéFrance4
  • 3Erling HaalandNorway4
  • 4Ousmane DembéléFrance4
  • 5Ismael SaibariMorocco3
  • 6Deniz UndavGermany3
  • 7Elijah JustNew Zealand3
  • 8Johan ManzambiSwitzerland3

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →