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Premier League · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 02:00 PM

Fulham FCvsAFC Bournemouth

Outcome probabilities

54%
26%
20%
Fulham winDrawBournemouth win

Fulham

54%

fair odds 1.87

Draw

26%

fair odds 3.92

Bournemouth

21%

fair odds 4.77

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.95 – 1.18

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Under 2.5 goals

39%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 – 1
    11.9%
  • #22 – 1
    9.8%
  • #32 – 0
    8.3%
  • #41 – 0
    6.7%
  • #53 – 1
    6.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →