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Bundesliga · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 01:30 PM

TSG 1899 HoffenheimvsSV Werder Bremen

Outcome probabilities

42%
28%
30%
Hoffenheim winDrawBremen win

Hoffenheim

42%

fair odds 2.41

Draw

28%

fair odds 3.60

Bremen

31%

fair odds 3.26

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.651.40

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Under 2.5 goals

41%

Most likely scorelines

  • #111
    12.9%
  • #221
    9.0%
  • #312
    7.7%
  • #400
    6.7%
  • #520
    6.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →