Ligue 1 · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Toulouse FCvsOlympique Lyonnais
Outcome probabilities
44%
28%
28%
Toulouse winDrawOlympique Lyon win
Toulouse
44%
fair odds 2.25
Draw
28%
fair odds 3.53
Olympique Lyon
27%
fair odds 3.67
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.65 – 1.26
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 113.4%
- #22 – 19.3%
- #30 – 07.5%
- #42 – 07.4%
- #51 – 27.1%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →