Ligue 1 · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Paris Saint-Germain FCvsStade Brestois 29
Outcome probabilities
80%
15%
PSG winDrawBrest win
PSG
80%
fair odds 1.25
Draw
15%
fair odds 6.86
Brest
5%
fair odds 19.12
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.78 – 0.66
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
Most likely scorelines
- #12 – 012.4%
- #23 – 011.5%
- #32 – 18.2%
- #44 – 08.0%
- #51 – 07.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →