Primera Division · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 12:00 PM
RCD MallorcavsVillarreal CF
Outcome probabilities
45%
29%
26%
Mallorca winDrawVillarreal win
Mallorca
45%
fair odds 2.20
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.44
Villarreal
25%
fair odds 3.92
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.59 – 1.16
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 113.9%
- #22 – 19.4%
- #30 – 08.5%
- #42 – 08.1%
- #51 – 08.1%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →