Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Thursday, July 16, 2026 · 10:30 PM
EC VitóriavsCR Vasco da Gama
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Vitória winDrawVasco da Gama win
Vitória
42%
fair odds 2.38
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.35
Vasco da Gama
28%
fair odds 3.55
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.20
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
Head to head · last 4
1
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
6
Goals for
8
Goals against
Form & scorers
Vitória · last 5
LWLDW
2W · 1D · 2L
Vasco da Gama · last 5
LLLWD
1W · 1D · 3L
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A top scorers
- 1Kevin ViverosParanaense11
- 2PedroFlamengo10
- 3Carlos ViníciusGrêmio9
- 4John KennedyFluminense9
- 5Breno LopesCoritiba8
- 6Danilo dos Santos de OliveiraBotafogo7
- 7Arthur CabralBotafogo7
- 8Luciano JubaBahia7
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 08.9%
- #41 - 07.9%
- #52 - 07.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →