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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 09:30 PM

Grêmio FBPAvsFluminense FC

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Grêmio winDrawFluminense win

Grêmio

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

Fluminense

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 6

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

8

Goals for

12

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Carlos ViníciusGrêmio10goals
  • John KennedyFluminense9goals

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A top scorers

  • 1Kevin ViverosParanaense11
  • 2PedroFlamengo10
  • 3Breno LopesCoritiba8
  • 4Danilo dos Santos de OliveiraBotafogo7
  • 5Arthur CabralBotafogo7
  • 6Luciano JubaBahia7
  • 7Gabriel BarbosaSantos7
  • 8José Manuel LópezPalmeiras6

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →