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Eredivisie · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 12:30 PM

PEC ZwollevsAFC Ajax

Outcome probabilities

29%
27%
44%
Zwolle winDrawAjax win

Zwolle

29%

fair odds 3.45

Draw

27%

fair odds 3.72

Ajax

44%

fair odds 2.27

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.41 - 1.76

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Under 2.5 goals

38%

Head to head · last 5

0

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

2

Goals for

9

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    12.3%
  • #21 - 2
    9.2%
  • #32 - 1
    7.3%
  • #40 - 2
    6.5%
  • #52 - 2
    6.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →