Eredivisie · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 02:45 PM
SC HeerenveenvsFC Twente '65
Outcome probabilities
29%
27%
44%
Heerenveen winDrawTwente win
Heerenveen
29%
fair odds 3.45
Draw
27%
fair odds 3.72
Twente
44%
fair odds 2.27
Market vs model
Market median
3.00 / 3.70 / 2.10
Model edge
-0.5%
Recommended stake
no stake
Market is roughly aligned with the model. No edge worth chasing here.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.41 - 1.76
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Head to head · last 5
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
7
Goals for
15
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 112.3%
- #21 - 29.2%
- #32 - 17.3%
- #40 - 26.5%
- #52 - 26.5%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →