Mintscore

Serie A · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 01:00 PM

Parma Calcio 1913vsGenoa CFC

Outcome probabilities

23%
33%
44%
Parma winDrawGenoa win

Parma

23%

fair odds 4.36

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.00

Genoa

44%

fair odds 2.28

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

0.87 - 1.29

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

Head to head · last 4

0

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

0

Goals for

2

Goals against

Form & scorers

Serie A top scorers

  • 1Donyell MalenRoma6
  • 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
  • 3Davide FrattesiLazio3
  • 4Franco MastantuonoFiorentina3
  • 5Hassane KamaraUdinese2
  • 6Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
  • 7Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
  • 8Gustavo VarelaMonza2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.3%
  • #20 - 0
    13.9%
  • #30 - 1
    12.5%
  • #40 - 2
    9.6%
  • #51 - 2
    8.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →