Mintscore

Serie A · Friday, September 18, 2026 · 06:45 PM

AC MonzavsUS Sassuolo Calcio

Outcome probabilities

37%
32%
31%
Monza winDrawSassuolo win

Monza

37%

fair odds 2.73

Draw

32%

fair odds 3.13

Sassuolo

31%

fair odds 3.19

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.28 - 1.17

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

Head to head · last 4

3

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

5

Goals for

2

Goals against

Form & scorers

Monza · last 3

DLL

0W · 1D · 2L

Sassuolo · last 3

DWL

1W · 1D · 1L

Top scorers playing today

  • Gustavo VarelaMonza2goals

Serie A top scorers

  • 1Donyell MalenRoma5
  • 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
  • 3Davide FrattesiLazio3
  • 4Franco MastantuonoFiorentina3
  • 5Hassane KamaraUdinese2
  • 6Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
  • 7Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
  • 8Alphadjo CisseMilan2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.3%
  • #20 - 0
    11.0%
  • #31 - 0
    8.8%
  • #42 - 1
    8.3%
  • #50 - 1
    7.8%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →