Mintscore

Serie A · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 04:00 PM

SS LaziovsAC Milan

Outcome probabilities

15%
28%
57%
Lazio winDrawMilan win

Lazio

15%

fair odds 6.59

Draw

28%

fair odds 3.63

Milan

57%

fair odds 1.75

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

0.80 - 1.72

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

Head to head · last 5

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

5

Goals for

5

Goals against

Form & scorers

Lazio · last 3

WWW

3W · 0D · 0L

Milan · last 3

DWW

2W · 1D · 0L

Top scorers playing today

  • Davide FrattesiLazio3goals
  • Alphadjo CisseMilan2goals

Serie A top scorers

  • 1Donyell MalenRoma5
  • 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
  • 3Hassane KamaraUdinese2
  • 4Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
  • 5Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
  • 6Gustavo VarelaMonza2
  • 7Che AdamsTorino2
  • 8Martin BaturinaComo 19072

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    13.1%
  • #20 - 2
    11.9%
  • #30 - 1
    11.8%
  • #40 - 0
    10.0%
  • #51 - 2
    9.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →