Ligue 1 · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 06:45 PM
Olympique de MarseillevsParis Saint-Germain FC
Outcome probabilities
30%
26%
44%
Marseille winDrawPSG win
Marseille
30%
fair odds 3.29
Draw
26%
fair odds 3.84
PSG
44%
fair odds 2.29
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.52 - 1.84
Both teams to score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
Head to head · last 6
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
2
Goals for
17
Goals against
Form & scorers
Marseille · last 4
LLLW
1W · 0D · 3L
Top scorers playing today
- Amine GouiriMarseille4goals
- Ferrán TorresPSG3goals
- MarquinhosPSG2goals
Ligue 1 top scorers
- 1Kamory DoumbiaBrest4
- 2Lassine SinayokoParis FC4
- 3Florian ThauvinRC Lens3
- 4Louis MafoutaLe Mans3
- 5Esteban LepaulStade Rennais3
- 6Paris BrunnerMonaco3
- 7Franjo IvanovicRC Lens2
- 8Tiago SantosLille2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 111.5%
- #21 - 28.9%
- #32 - 17.4%
- #42 - 26.8%
- #50 - 25.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →