Ligue 1 · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 06:45 PM
Le Mans FCvsFC Lorient
Outcome probabilities
43%
29%
28%
Le Mans winDrawLorient win
Le Mans
43%
fair odds 2.31
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.46
Lorient
28%
fair odds 3.60
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.59 - 1.24
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
Form & scorers
Le Mans · last 3
DLD
0W · 2D · 1L
Lorient · last 3
WLD
1W · 1D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Louis MafoutaLe Mans3goals
Ligue 1 top scorers
- 1Amine GouiriMarseille4
- 2Kamory DoumbiaBrest4
- 3Lassine SinayokoParis FC4
- 4Florian ThauvinRC Lens3
- 5Esteban LepaulStade Rennais3
- 6Paris BrunnerMonaco3
- 7Ferrán TorresPSG2
- 8MarquinhosPSG2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.7%
- #22 - 19.2%
- #30 - 08.0%
- #42 - 07.4%
- #51 - 07.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →