Mintscore

Ligue 1 · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 06:45 PM

AJ AuxerrevsOGC Nice

Outcome probabilities

45%
33%
22%
Auxerre winDrawNice win

Auxerre

45%

fair odds 2.24

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.01

Nice

22%

fair odds 4.50

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.30 - 0.85

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Under 2.5 goals

64%

Head to head · last 5

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

7

Goals for

7

Goals against

Form & scorers

Auxerre · last 3

LLL

0W · 0D · 3L

Nice · last 3

DLD

0W · 2D · 1L

Ligue 1 top scorers

  • 1Amine GouiriMarseille4
  • 2Kamory DoumbiaBrest4
  • 3Lassine SinayokoParis FC4
  • 4Florian ThauvinRC Lens3
  • 5Louis MafoutaLe Mans3
  • 6Esteban LepaulStade Rennais3
  • 7Ferrán TorresPSG2
  • 8MarquinhosPSG2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.2%
  • #20 - 0
    14.0%
  • #31 - 0
    12.8%
  • #42 - 0
    9.8%
  • #52 - 1
    8.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →