Premier League · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 03:30 PM
Manchester United FCvsManchester City FC
Outcome probabilities
Man United
31%
fair odds 3.21
Draw
27%
fair odds 3.72
Man City
42%
fair odds 2.38
Market vs model
Market median
3.02 / 3.80 / 2.10
Model edge
+2.2%
Recommended stake
0.19% of bankroll
Market is roughly aligned with the model. No edge worth chasing here.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.48 - 1.73
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Head to head · last 4
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals for
4
Goals against
Form & scorers
Man United · last 3
1W · 1D · 1L
Man City · last 4
4W · 0D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Erling HaalandMan City3goals
- Bruno FernandesMan United3goals
Premier League top scorers
- 1Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 2Kai HavertzArsenal2
- 3Bukayo SakaArsenal2
- 4Martin ØdegaardArsenal2
- 5Vitaly JaneltBrentford2
- 6Marcus TavernierBournemouth2
- 7Jack HinshelwoodBrighton Hove2
- 8Anthony ElangaNewcastle2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 112.2%
- #21 - 28.9%
- #32 - 17.6%
- #42 - 26.6%
- #50 - 26.0%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →