Premier League · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 AM
Tottenham Hotspur FCvsAston Villa FC
Outcome probabilities
22%
28%
50%
Tottenham winDrawAston Villa win
Tottenham
22%
fair odds 4.48
Draw
28%
fair odds 3.58
Aston Villa
50%
fair odds 2.01
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.10 - 1.72
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
Head to head · last 4
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
7
Goals for
6
Goals against
Form & scorers
Tottenham · last 4
DDLL
0W · 2D · 2L
Aston Villa · last 5
LWDLL
1W · 1D · 3L
Premier League top scorers
- 1Bukayo SakaArsenal3
- 2Marcus TavernierBournemouth3
- 3João PedroChelsea3
- 4Morgan RogersChelsea3
- 5Erling HaalandMan City3
- 6Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 7Kevin SchadeBrentford3
- 8Bruno FernandesMan United3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.3%
- #21 - 29.7%
- #30 - 28.8%
- #40 - 18.2%
- #50 - 08.0%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →