Championship · Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 06:45 PM
Middlesbrough FCvsMillwall FC
Outcome probabilities
38%
36%
26%
Middlesbrough winDrawMillwall win
Middlesbrough
38%
fair odds 2.62
Draw
36%
fair odds 2.81
Millwall
26%
fair odds 3.81
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.10 - 0.88
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Under 2.5 goals
68%
Head to head · last 6
3
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
8
Goals for
5
Goals against
- LApr 3, 2026Middlesbrough 1 - 2 MillwallChampionship
- WAug 16, 2025Millwall 0 - 3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LApr 12, 2025Millwall 1 - 0 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- WDec 14, 2024Middlesbrough 1 - 0 MillwallChampionship
- WJan 13, 2024Millwall 1 - 3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LAug 5, 2023Middlesbrough 0 - 1 MillwallChampionship
Form & scorers
Middlesbrough · last 5
WDWLW
3W · 1D · 1L
Millwall · last 5
WLLWW
3W · 0D · 2L
Top scorers playing today
- William LankshearMiddlesbrough5goals
Championship top scorers
- 1Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 2Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 3Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 4Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 5Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 6Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 7Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
- 8Callum LangPreston NE3
Most likely scorelines
- #10 - 016.3%
- #21 - 115.8%
- #31 - 012.8%
- #40 - 19.7%
- #52 - 08.4%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →