Championship · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 02:00 PM
Preston North End FCvsLincoln City FC
Outcome probabilities
Preston NE
32%
fair odds 3.10
Draw
31%
fair odds 3.18
Lincoln City
36%
fair odds 2.75
Market vs model
Market median
2.25 / 3.40 / 2.90
Model edge
+6.9%
Recommended stake
0.71% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.22 - 1.30
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
Form & scorers
Preston NE · last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Lincoln City · last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Top scorers playing today
- Callum LangPreston NE3goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 7Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 8Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.0%
- #20 - 010.3%
- #31 - 28.3%
- #40 - 18.2%
- #52 - 17.8%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →