Primera Division · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM
RC Celta de VigovsMálaga CF
Outcome probabilities
36%
28%
36%
Celta winDrawMálaga win
Celta
36%
fair odds 2.77
Draw
28%
fair odds 3.61
Málaga
36%
fair odds 2.77
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.56 - 1.56
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
Form & scorers
Celta · last 5
DDLLD
0W · 3D · 2L
Málaga · last 4
DLDL
0W · 2D · 2L
Primera Division top scorers
- 1RaphinhaBarça6
- 2Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
- 3Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
- 4Fermín LópezBarça4
- 5Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
- 6Ante BudimirOsasuna4
- 7Lucas BoyéAlavés4
- 8Lamine YamalBarça4
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 112.7%
- #21 - 28.4%
- #32 - 18.4%
- #42 - 26.5%
- #50 - 06.4%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →