Primera Division · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Real Sociedad de FútbolvsClub Atlético de Madrid
Outcome probabilities
Real Sociedad
32%
fair odds 3.15
Draw
26%
fair odds 3.78
Atleti
42%
fair odds 2.39
Market vs model
Market median
3.00 / 3.55 / 2.20
Model edge
-4.9%
Recommended stake
no stake
Market is roughly aligned with the model. No edge worth chasing here.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 - 1.77
Both teams to score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
Head to head · last 5
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
4
Goals for
11
Goals against
Form & scorers
Real Sociedad · last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Atleti · last 4
2W · 1D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Álex BaenaAtleti3goals
Primera Division top scorers
- 1RaphinhaBarça6
- 2Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
- 3Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
- 4Fermín LópezBarça4
- 5Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
- 6Ante BudimirOsasuna4
- 7Lucas BoyéAlavés4
- 8Lamine YamalBarça4
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 111.8%
- #21 - 28.8%
- #32 - 17.6%
- #42 - 26.8%
- #50 - 25.8%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →