Primera Division · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 02:15 PM
Levante UDvsFC Barcelona
Outcome probabilities
Levante
12%
fair odds 8.12
Draw
18%
fair odds 5.44
Barça
69%
fair odds 1.44
Market vs model
Market median
8.50 / 6.25 / 1.26
Model edge
+15.0%
Recommended stake
0.71% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.12 - 2.69
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
Head to head · last 6
0
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
7
Goals for
16
Goals against
Form & scorers
Levante · last 4
1W · 2D · 1L
Barça · last 4
4W · 0D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- RaphinhaBarça6goals
- Fermín LópezBarça4goals
- Lamine YamalBarça4goals
Primera Division top scorers
- 1Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
- 2Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
- 3Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
- 4Ante BudimirOsasuna4
- 5Lucas BoyéAlavés4
- 6Mariano DíazAlavés3
- 7Roberto FernándezEspanyol3
- 8Álex BaenaAtleti3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 29.0%
- #21 - 38.0%
- #30 - 28.0%
- #41 - 17.9%
- #50 - 37.2%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →