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Primera Division · Thursday, September 17, 2026 · 07:30 PM

Málaga CFvsVillarreal CF

Outcome probabilities

39%
30%
31%
Málaga winDrawVillarreal win

Málaga

39%

fair odds 2.60

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.31

Villarreal

31%

fair odds 3.20

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.42 - 1.26

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Form & scorers

Málaga · last 4

DLDL

0W · 2D · 2L

Villarreal · last 5

LLLDD

0W · 2D · 3L

Primera Division top scorers

  • 1RaphinhaBarça6
  • 2Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
  • 3Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
  • 4Fermín LópezBarça4
  • 5Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
  • 6Ante BudimirOsasuna4
  • 7Lucas BoyéAlavés4
  • 8Lamine YamalBarça4

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.5%
  • #20 - 0
    9.0%
  • #32 - 1
    8.7%
  • #41 - 2
    7.7%
  • #51 - 0
    7.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →