Bundesliga · Friday, September 18, 2026 · 06:30 PM
FC Bayern Münchenvs1. FC Union Berlin
Outcome probabilities
91%
Bayern winDrawUnion Berlin win
Bayern
91%
fair odds 1.10
Draw
6%
fair odds 15.43
Union Berlin
2%
fair odds 40.62
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
4.24 - 0.81
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Under 2.5 goals
12%
Head to head · last 5
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
15
Goals for
4
Goals against
Form & scorers
Bayern · last 3
WDW
2W · 1D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Tim SkarkeUnion Berlin2goals
Bundesliga top scorers
- 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
- 2Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
- 3Josha VagnomanStuttgart2
- 4Ridle BakuRB Leipzig2
- 5David Mokwa NtusuElversberg2
- 6Patrik SchickLeverkusen2
- 7Thijs Dallinga1. FC Köln2
- 8Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2
Most likely scorelines
- #14 - 08.7%
- #23 - 08.2%
- #35 - 07.3%
- #44 - 17.0%
- #53 - 16.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →