Primeira Liga · Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 07:45 PM
Moreirense FCvsSport Lisboa e Benfica
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Moreirense winDrawSL Benfica win
Moreirense
42%
fair odds 2.37
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.34
SL Benfica
28%
fair odds 3.58
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.19
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 6
0
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
4
Goals for
15
Goals against
- LApr 25, 2026SL Benfica 4 - 1 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- LDec 14, 2025Moreirense 0 - 4 SL BenficaPrimeira Liga
- LFeb 8, 2025SL Benfica 3 - 2 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- DAug 30, 2024Moreirense 1 - 1 SL BenficaPrimeira Liga
- LApr 14, 2024SL Benfica 3 - 0 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- DDec 3, 2023Moreirense 0 - 0 SL BenficaPrimeira Liga
Form & scorers
Moreirense · last 4
LWLD
1W · 1D · 2L
SL Benfica · last 4
WWWD
3W · 1D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica5goals
- Gianluca PrestianniSL Benfica3goals
Primeira Liga top scorers
- 1Leandro AntonettiAmadora4
- 2Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara4
- 3Luis SuárezSporting CP4
- 4Georgios KoutsiasFamalicão3
- 5BarberoArouca3
- 6Gabriel VeigaPorto3
- 7Pau Victor DelgadoBraga3
- 8Flávio GonçalvesSporting CP3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 09.0%
- #41 - 08.0%
- #52 - 07.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →