Primeira Liga · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 05:00 PM
FC AlvercavsRio Ave FC
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Alverca winDrawRio Ave win
Alverca
42%
fair odds 2.37
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.34
Rio Ave
28%
fair odds 3.58
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.19
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 2
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals for
2
Goals against
Form & scorers
Alverca · last 5
WLDLD
1W · 2D · 2L
Rio Ave · last 5
LLWLL
1W · 0D · 4L
Primeira Liga top scorers
- 1Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica6
- 2Leandro AntonettiAmadora4
- 3Gianluca PrestianniSL Benfica4
- 4Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara4
- 5Luis SuárezSporting CP4
- 6Georgios KoutsiasFamalicão3
- 7BarberoArouca3
- 8André SilvaPorto3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 09.0%
- #41 - 08.0%
- #52 - 07.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →