UEFA Champions League · Thursday, September 10, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Como 1907vsRB Leipzig
Outcome probabilities
Como 1907
42%
fair odds 2.38
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.35
RB Leipzig
28%
fair odds 3.55
Market vs model
Market median
1.95 / 3.80 / 3.63
Model edge
+13.4%
Recommended stake
1.19% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.20
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
Form & scorers
Como 1907 · last 3
2W · 1D · 0L
UEFA Champions League top scorers
- 1Erling HaalandMan City2
- 2Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2
- 3BartraReal Betis2
- 4John McGinnAston Villa1
- 5Hugo VetlesenClub Brugge1
- 6Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa1
- 7Nicolas JacksonAston Villa1
- 8Nicolo TresoldiClub Brugge1
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 08.9%
- #41 - 07.9%
- #52 - 07.6%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →