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FIFA World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026 · 01:00 AM

CzechiavsMexico

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Czechia winDrawMexico win

Czechia

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

Mexico

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Form & scorers

Czechia · last 2

DL

0W · 1D · 1L

Mexico · last 2

WW

2W · 0D · 0L

Top scorers playing today

  • Julián QuiñonesMexico1goals

FIFA World Cup top scorers

  • 1Lionel MessiArgentina3
  • 2Jonathan DavidCanada3
  • 3Cyle LarinCanada2
  • 4Folarin BalogunUSA2
  • 5Kai HavertzGermany2
  • 6Yasin AyariSweden2
  • 7Elijah JustNew Zealand2
  • 8Kylian MbappéFrance2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →