Serie A · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 10:30 AM
ACF FiorentinavsSSC Napoli
Outcome probabilities
22%
33%
45%
Fiorentina winDrawNapoli win
Fiorentina
22%
fair odds 4.61
Draw
33%
fair odds 2.99
Napoli
45%
fair odds 2.23
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
0.83 - 1.28
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals
65%
Head to head · last 5
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
5
Goals for
12
Goals against
Form & scorers
Fiorentina · last 4
WLLL
1W · 0D · 3L
Napoli · last 5
WLLLW
2W · 0D · 3L
Top scorers playing today
- Franco MastantuonoFiorentina3goals
Serie A top scorers
- 1Donyell MalenRoma5
- 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
- 3Davide FrattesiLazio3
- 4Hassane KamaraUdinese2
- 5Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
- 6Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
- 7Gustavo VarelaMonza2
- 8Tiago GabrielLecce2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.2%
- #20 - 014.5%
- #30 - 113.3%
- #40 - 210.0%
- #51 - 28.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →