Mintscore

Serie A · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 06:45 PM

AC MilanvsUS Lecce

Outcome probabilities

52%
31%
17%
Milan winDrawLecce win

Milan

52%

fair odds 1.94

Draw

31%

fair odds 3.18

Lecce

17%

fair odds 5.90

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.43 - 0.73

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

Head to head · last 5

5

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

12

Goals for

2

Goals against

Form & scorers

Milan · last 4

DDWW

2W · 2D · 0L

Lecce · last 4

WLLW

2W · 0D · 2L

Top scorers playing today

  • Tiago GabrielLecce2goals
  • Alphadjo CisseMilan2goals

Serie A top scorers

  • 1Donyell MalenRoma5
  • 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
  • 3Davide FrattesiLazio3
  • 4Franco MastantuonoFiorentina3
  • 5Hassane KamaraUdinese2
  • 6Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
  • 7Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
  • 8Gustavo VarelaMonza2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 0
    14.3%
  • #21 - 1
    14.2%
  • #30 - 0
    13.7%
  • #42 - 0
    11.8%
  • #52 - 1
    8.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →