Premier League · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 02:00 PM
Newcastle United FCvsHull City AFC
Outcome probabilities
44%
25%
31%
Newcastle winDrawHull City win
Newcastle
44%
fair odds 2.29
Draw
25%
fair odds 3.93
Hull City
31%
fair odds 3.25
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.89 - 1.58
Both teams to score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
Form & scorers
Newcastle · last 3
DWD
1W · 2D · 0L
Hull City · last 4
DDWW
2W · 2D · 0L
Premier League top scorers
- 1Bukayo SakaArsenal3
- 2Marcus TavernierBournemouth3
- 3João PedroChelsea3
- 4Morgan RogersChelsea3
- 5Erling HaalandMan City3
- 6Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 7Kevin SchadeBrentford3
- 8Bruno FernandesMan United3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 110.9%
- #22 - 18.8%
- #31 - 27.3%
- #42 - 26.9%
- #52 - 05.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →