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Bundesliga · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 04:30 PM

VfB StuttgartvsBorussia Dortmund

Outcome probabilities

31%
34%
35%
Stuttgart winDrawDortmund win

Stuttgart

31%

fair odds 3.25

Draw

34%

fair odds 2.94

Dortmund

35%

fair odds 2.84

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.05 - 1.14

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

Head to head · last 5

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

11

Goals for

7

Goals against

Form & scorers

Stuttgart · last 4

LWWL

2W · 0D · 2L

Dortmund · last 4

WWWW

4W · 0D · 0L

Top scorers playing today

  • Josha VagnomanStuttgart2goals

Bundesliga top scorers

  • 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
  • 2Patrik SchickLeverkusen3
  • 3Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
  • 4Igor MatanovicFreiburg3
  • 5Michael GregoritschAugsburg3
  • 6Maurice KrattenmacherElversberg3
  • 7Phillip TietzMainz3
  • 8Ridle BakuRB Leipzig2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.8%
  • #20 - 0
    13.6%
  • #30 - 1
    10.3%
  • #41 - 0
    9.3%
  • #51 - 2
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →