Mintscore

Bundesliga · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 01:30 PM

Hamburger SVvs1. FC Köln

Outcome probabilities

50%
29%
21%
HSV winDraw1. FC Köln win

HSV

50%

fair odds 2.02

Draw

29%

fair odds 3.42

1. FC Köln

21%

fair odds 4.71

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.61 - 0.99

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

Head to head · last 2

0

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

2

Goals for

5

Goals against

Form & scorers

HSV · last 3

LLL

0W · 0D · 3L

1. FC Köln · last 3

DLW

1W · 1D · 1L

Bundesliga top scorers

  • 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
  • 2Patrik SchickLeverkusen3
  • 3Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
  • 4Igor MatanovicFreiburg3
  • 5Michael GregoritschAugsburg3
  • 6Maurice KrattenmacherElversberg3
  • 7Phillip TietzMainz3
  • 8Josha VagnomanStuttgart2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.0%
  • #21 - 0
    9.8%
  • #32 - 0
    9.6%
  • #40 - 0
    9.6%
  • #52 - 1
    9.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →